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Qual 72016 St. Louis Regional
Red74
198530.9
493131.2
548410.4
Blue35
144420.4
379224.4
517622.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715602040801001201407435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4931
#4
31.20.3
19.4→19.6
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.7
red by 6.8
3792
#25
24.42.4
19.2→16.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Second
1985
#6
30.90.3
23.7→23.9
Auto6.7
Teleop19.7
End4.5
red by 8.1
5176
#27
22.82.4
21.7→19.3
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.6
Third
5484
#48
10.40.3
23.4→23.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.1
End0.8
blue by 10.1
1444
#11
20.42.4
15.8→13.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed