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Qual 302016 St. Louis Regional
Red69
506018.1
170617.3
120828.3
Blue82
339722.1
198530.9
270711.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595402040801001201401606982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#8
28.31.4
26.1→27.6
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End4.2
blue by 2.6
1985
#6
30.93.2
26.5→29.7
Auto6.7
Teleop19.7
End4.5
Second
5060
#32
18.11.4
11.4→12.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
blue by 4.0
3397
#23
22.13.2
18.7→21.9
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Third
1706
#42
17.31.4
18.8→20.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End2.7
red by 5.5
2707
#37
11.93.2
8.1→11.2
Auto0.6
Teleop10.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed