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Red113
109431.9
208129.7
432921.0
Blue82
132924.8
547924.2
517622.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66653040506070809010011011382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.93.2
19.923.1
Auto11.9
Teleop13.2
End6.7
red by 7.1
1329
#19
24.82.0
22.424.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End4.6
Second
2081
#14
29.73.2
22.125.3
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.5
red by 5.5
5479
#34
24.22.0
22.024.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End3.7
Third
4329
#30
21.03.2
21.825.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End3.1
blue by 1.8
5176
#27
22.82.0
19.721.7
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed