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Red87
208129.7
450027.7
278326.1
Blue74
379224.4
418723.3
603414.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69460204060801008774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#14
29.72.6
23.225.8
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.5
red by 5.3
3792
#25
24.42.9
20.223.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Second
4500
#26
27.72.6
20.623.2
Auto9.1
Teleop15.4
End3.2
red by 4.4
4187
#24
23.32.9
13.316.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End8.8
Third
26.12.6
19.622.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 12.0
6034
#41
14.12.9
14.517.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed