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Red77
547924.2
514716.5
245135.6
Blue69
425625.1
433111.0
198530.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62633040507080907769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#12
35.61.8
27.829.6
Auto12.0
Teleop19.7
End3.9
red by 4.7
30.91.0
28.729.7
Auto6.7
Teleop19.7
End4.5
Second
5479
#34
24.21.8
19.821.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End3.7
blue by 0.9
4256
#16
25.11.0
20.521.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Third
5147
#45
16.51.8
13.415.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 5.5
4331
#47
11.01.0
10.911.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed