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Red72
144420.4
440422.3
167535.7
Blue70
132924.8
435628.7
297814.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69480204060801007270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.4
31.431.8
Auto9.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 6.9
28.72.3
21.123.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End5.8
Second
4404
#17
22.30.4
15.315.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End4.7
blue by 2.5
1329
#19
24.82.3
18.721.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End4.6
Third
1444
#11
20.40.4
17.117.5
Auto2.8
Teleop13.0
End4.6
red by 5.9
2978
#33
14.62.3
9.711.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed