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Red79
517622.8
440422.3
424623.5
Blue52
423222.9
514716.5
615713.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69460204060801001207952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4246
#22
23.51.6
23.925.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End7.9
red by 0.6
4232
#29
22.90.1
24.124.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.9
End3.2
Second
5176
#27
22.81.6
21.623.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.6
red by 6.3
5147
#45
16.50.1
13.012.9
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Third
4404
#17
22.31.6
18.219.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End4.7
red by 8.8
6157
#36
13.50.1
11.111.0
Auto0.5
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed