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Red77
270711.9
283817.7
167535.7
Blue69
547924.2
128827.2
433019.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50720204060801001207769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.72.6
31.634.2
Auto9.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 8.5
27.20.2
27.027.2
Auto13.7
Teleop10.9
End2.5
Second
2838
#28
17.72.6
12.214.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.8
End3.3
blue by 6.5
5479
#34
24.20.3
24.224.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End3.7
Third
2707
#37
11.92.6
8.210.8
Auto0.6
Teleop10.0
End1.2
blue by 8.1
4330
#43
19.90.2
15.415.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed