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Red142
34145.7
22554.1
125731.7
Blue122
36537.5
259043.1
121836.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181152100120140160200220240260142122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
54.10.4
56.355.9
Auto15.2
Teleop31.4
End7.6
red by 11.0
2590
#13
43.10.5
43.743.2
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End3.9
Second
341
#3
45.70.4
47.947.5
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End10.0
red by 8.2
365
#44
37.50.5
38.237.7
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
Third
1257
#52
31.70.4
33.933.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End4.0
blue by 4.8
1218
#19
36.50.5
37.236.7
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End5.4