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Red117
465332.2
171229.2
540438.1
Blue113
121836.5
1132.8
259043.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971226080140160180200117113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5404
#27
38.11.3
37.839.1
Auto8.2
Teleop23.9
End6.1
blue by 4.9
2590
#13
43.10.5
44.243.7
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End3.9
Second
4653
#38
32.21.3
30.932.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.6
End4.2
blue by 4.3
1218
#19
36.50.5
37.637.2
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End5.4
Third
29.21.3
28.830.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End4.2
blue by 3.6
11
#45
32.80.5
33.332.8
Auto8.9
Teleop20.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
51%Capture oddsEarned57%Capture oddsEarned