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Red103
540727.9
201632.4
192332.6
Blue113
511332.2
5639.9
162632.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90109406080100120140160180103113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#22
32.60.8
31.732.6
Auto7.2
Teleop19.9
End5.5
blue by 7.3
56
#15
39.90.6
40.140.8
Auto11.6
Teleop23.9
End4.3
Second
2016
#40
32.40.8
31.532.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Level
1626
#25
32.40.6
31.832.4
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
Third
5407
#36
27.90.8
27.027.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End4.1
blue by 4.3
5113
#24
32.20.6
31.632.2
Auto8.0
Teleop19.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
46%Capture oddsEarned31%Capture oddsEarned