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Red106
260734.2
70839.0
601624.5
Blue102
181131.2
22233.1
620323.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9093050150200106102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#18
39.01.2
38.840.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End9.5
red by 5.9
222
#43
33.10.2
37.637.3
Auto9.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Second
2607
#29
34.21.2
26.928.1
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
red by 3.0
1811
#42
31.20.2
33.132.9
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End2.7
Third
6016
#30
24.51.2
22.523.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End3.1
red by 1.1
6203
#53
23.40.2
19.319.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed