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Red92
164728.5
36537.5
48430.7
Blue83
140332.4
5639.9
255927.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9498501502009283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#44
37.50.3
39.038.7
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
blue by 2.3
56
#15
39.90.8
37.136.3
Auto11.6
Teleop23.9
End4.3
Second
484
#20
30.70.3
29.028.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.9
blue by 1.6
1403
#37
32.40.8
31.130.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
Third
1647
#28
28.50.3
23.623.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 1.3
2559
#39
27.20.8
26.725.9
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed