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Red100
475029.1
139128.5
27226.9
Blue79
540438.1
30340.4
593823.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809805015020010079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4750
#32
29.11.3
29.030.3
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End3.3
blue by 11.3
303
#33
40.40.9
36.335.4
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End6.5
Second
28.51.3
26.027.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.3
End5.1
blue by 9.7
5404
#27
38.10.9
35.134.2
Auto8.2
Teleop23.9
End6.1
Third
272
#26
26.91.3
25.226.5
Auto10.3
Teleop13.5
End3.0
red by 3.1
5938
#51
23.80.9
21.420.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsMissed