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Red99
363733.1
22326.9
127928.0
Blue112
1132.8
201632.4
125731.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831095015020099112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#41
33.10.6
32.333.0
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.2
red by 0.3
11
#45
32.80.7
32.733.3
Auto8.9
Teleop20.0
End4.0
Second
1279
#59
28.00.6
26.427.1
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.1
blue by 4.4
2016
#40
32.40.7
32.733.3
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Third
223
#55
26.90.6
25.526.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.2
blue by 4.8
1257
#52
31.70.7
36.837.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned7%Capture oddsEarned