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Red109
167625.0
86944.7
540140.3
Blue121
457336.2
22554.1
171229.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11112150100150200109121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#10
44.70.0
44.144.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End11.9
blue by 9.4
225
#1
54.10.0
51.651.6
Auto15.2
Teleop31.4
End7.6
Second
40.30.0
32.732.7
Auto7.0
Teleop21.5
End11.8
red by 4.1
4573
#35
36.20.0
38.338.3
Auto8.0
Teleop17.9
End10.4
Third
1676
#54
25.00.0
32.332.3
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 4.2
29.20.0
26.326.3
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsEarned