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Red90
445426.8
601624.5
192332.6
Blue97
457527.5
171229.2
48430.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83852040601001201401609097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#22
32.60.6
31.131.7
Auto7.2
Teleop19.9
End5.5
red by 1.9
484
#20
30.71.0
29.029.9
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Second
4454
#58
26.80.6
26.026.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.5
End4.6
blue by 2.4
29.21.0
27.828.8
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Third
6016
#30
24.50.6
24.024.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End3.1
blue by 3.0
4575
#46
27.51.0
25.726.7
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsEarned19%Capture oddsEarned