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Red124
83434.1
181131.2
30340.4
Blue125
121836.5
540140.3
162632.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105110406080120140160180124125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#33
40.41.4
38.840.2
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End6.5
red by 0.1
40.31.3
39.040.3
Auto7.0
Teleop21.5
End11.8
Second
834
#31
34.11.4
33.735.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.6
End3.3
blue by 2.4
1218
#19
36.51.3
36.437.6
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End5.4
Third
1811
#42
31.21.4
30.431.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End2.7
blue by 1.2
1626
#25
32.41.3
30.531.8
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
62%Capture oddsEarned55%Capture oddsEarned