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Red137
259043.1
260734.2
36537.5
Blue91
201632.4
475029.1
562433.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11794608014016018013791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#13
43.11.8
42.444.2
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End3.9
red by 9.8
5624
#48
33.20.3
33.233.0
Auto7.0
Teleop20.5
End5.7
Second
365
#44
37.51.8
36.238.0
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
red by 5.1
2016
#40
32.40.3
31.831.5
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Third
2607
#29
34.21.8
31.533.3
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
red by 5.1
4750
#32
29.10.3
29.929.7
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsMissed26%Capture oddsEarned