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Red88
22233.1
192332.6
140332.4
Blue92
167625.0
540727.9
566624.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101830501502008892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#43
33.10.5
37.336.8
Auto9.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
red by 5.2
5407
#36
27.90.4
25.124.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Second
1923
#22
32.60.5
28.327.8
Auto7.2
Teleop19.9
End5.5
red by 7.6
1676
#54
25.00.5
32.331.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Third
1403
#37
32.40.5
30.329.7
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
red by 7.6
5666
#57
24.80.4
26.325.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed