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Red106
36537.5
19338.0
457527.5
Blue150
1132.8
331443.1
540140.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101110050150200250106150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#16
38.00.4
35.936.3
Auto8.9
Teleop22.4
End6.7
blue by 5.1
43.12.6
39.742.3
Auto10.1
Teleop27.4
End5.6
Second
365
#44
37.50.4
38.739.1
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
blue by 2.7
40.32.6
32.735.3
Auto7.0
Teleop21.5
End11.8
Third
4575
#46
27.50.4
24.825.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
blue by 5.3
11
#45
32.82.6
33.335.9
Auto8.9
Teleop20.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsEarned