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Red118
540140.3
34145.7
434230.0
Blue112
363733.1
260734.2
164040.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101105050150200250300118112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#3
45.70.9
33.534.4
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End10.0
red by 5.2
1640
#49
40.50.7
41.041.7
Auto12.9
Teleop23.2
End4.4
Second
40.30.9
35.336.2
Auto7.0
Teleop21.5
End11.8
red by 6.1
2607
#29
34.20.7
26.727.3
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Third
4342
#34
30.00.9
30.431.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End5.4
blue by 3.1
3637
#41
33.10.7
34.134.8
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsMissed