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Red107
171229.2
19338.0
32132.7
Blue88
127928.0
30340.4
566624.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9291708010011010788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#16
38.01.2
36.337.5
Auto8.9
Teleop22.4
End6.7
blue by 2.4
303
#33
40.40.1
35.435.3
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End6.5
Second
321
#14
32.71.2
26.127.3
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End4.4
red by 4.8
1279
#59
28.00.1
27.627.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.1
Third
29.21.2
26.227.4
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End4.2
red by 4.4
5666
#57
24.80.1
25.925.8
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned11%Capture oddsMissed