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Red85
445426.8
114338.5
108936.1
Blue80
22233.1
465332.2
540727.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107924060801001201401601808580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#12
38.51.1
35.934.8
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End5.2
red by 5.4
222
#43
33.10.8
36.836.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Second
1089
#21
36.11.1
34.733.6
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End3.5
red by 3.9
4653
#38
32.20.8
30.429.6
Auto10.4
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Third
4454
#58
26.81.1
31.330.2
Auto7.7
Teleop14.5
End4.6
blue by 1.1
5407
#36
27.90.8
24.723.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsMissed95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned