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Red90
83434.1
42326.0
5639.9
Blue100
601624.5
86944.7
139128.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979870809011012090100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#15
39.90.3
36.336.1
Auto11.6
Teleop23.9
End4.3
blue by 4.8
869
#10
44.70.3
44.144.4
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End11.9
Second
834
#31
34.10.3
32.131.8
Auto11.2
Teleop19.6
End3.3
red by 5.7
28.50.3
28.528.8
Auto9.1
Teleop14.3
End5.1
Third
423
#56
26.00.3
26.025.7
Auto7.7
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 1.4
6016
#30
24.50.3
22.823.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
60%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsMissed