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Red115
511332.2
48430.7
540438.1
Blue122
36537.5
70839.0
331443.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84132050100150200115122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5404
#27
38.11.4
34.335.7
Auto8.2
Teleop23.9
End6.1
blue by 5.0
43.10.1
42.342.4
Auto10.1
Teleop27.4
End5.6
Second
5113
#24
32.21.4
26.327.7
Auto8.0
Teleop19.4
End4.9
blue by 6.8
708
#18
39.00.1
39.739.7
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End9.5
Third
484
#20
30.71.4
28.129.6
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.9
blue by 6.8
365
#44
37.50.1
39.139.2
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned50%Capture oddsMissed