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Red79
201632.4
593823.8
463721.9
Blue92
7527.6
4138.6
255927.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75872040601001201407992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#40
32.40.3
33.033.3
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
blue by 6.2
41
#8
38.60.6
30.130.8
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End4.9
Second
5938
#51
23.80.3
21.721.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
blue by 3.8
75
#50
27.60.6
26.527.1
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End2.9
Third
4637
#60
21.90.3
20.020.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
blue by 5.3
2559
#39
27.20.6
26.026.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed