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Red95
42326.0
192332.6
568435.1
Blue130
540140.3
540438.1
164040.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841235010015020095130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#23
35.10.5
33.434.0
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End5.7
blue by 5.4
1640
#49
40.50.8
41.742.4
Auto12.9
Teleop23.2
End4.4
Second
1923
#22
32.60.5
27.828.4
Auto7.2
Teleop19.9
End5.5
blue by 7.7
40.30.8
36.237.0
Auto7.0
Teleop21.5
End11.8
Third
423
#56
26.00.5
25.726.2
Auto7.7
Teleop13.2
End5.1
blue by 12.2
5404
#27
38.10.8
35.736.5
Auto8.2
Teleop23.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
72%Capture oddsEarned33%Capture oddsEarned