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Red98
171229.2
140332.4
70839.0
Blue90
32132.7
125731.7
593823.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102880501502009890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#18
39.00.1
39.739.8
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End9.5
red by 6.3
321
#14
32.70.2
30.330.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End4.4
Second
1403
#37
32.40.1
30.130.1
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
red by 0.7
1257
#52
31.70.2
35.535.3
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End4.0
Third
29.20.1
27.427.5
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End4.2
red by 5.5
5938
#51
23.80.2
21.921.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
61%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsMissed