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Red106
363733.1
601624.5
22554.1
Blue101
593823.8
36537.5
140332.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11888406080100140160106101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
54.10.3
53.252.9
Auto15.2
Teleop31.4
End7.6
red by 16.6
365
#44
37.50.1
38.238.3
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
Second
3637
#41
33.10.3
35.134.8
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.2
red by 0.7
1403
#37
32.40.1
30.130.2
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
Third
6016
#30
24.50.3
22.322.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End3.1
red by 0.8
5938
#51
23.80.1
21.821.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsMissed