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Red105
19338.0
255927.2
83434.1
Blue104
181131.2
568435.1
171229.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95100406080120140105104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#16
38.00.5
36.537.0
Auto8.9
Teleop22.4
End6.7
red by 2.9
5684
#23
35.10.2
34.034.2
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End5.7
Second
834
#31
34.10.5
30.831.3
Auto11.2
Teleop19.6
End3.3
red by 2.9
1811
#42
31.20.2
34.534.7
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End2.7
Third
2559
#39
27.20.5
25.225.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End3.2
blue by 2.1
29.20.2
27.527.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned28%Capture oddsEarned