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Red110
540140.3
125731.7
164728.5
Blue103
201632.4
27226.9
2546.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711350150200110103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.9
37.037.8
Auto7.0
Teleop21.5
End11.8
blue by 5.7
25
#11
46.00.3
47.847.5
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End12.4
Second
1257
#52
31.70.9
35.336.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End4.0
blue by 0.7
2016
#40
32.40.3
32.832.5
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Third
1647
#28
28.50.9
24.725.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 1.5
272
#26
26.90.3
27.327.0
Auto10.3
Teleop13.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned50%Capture oddsEarned