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Red112
562433.2
259043.1
139128.5
Blue101
164040.5
22233.1
457527.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104110050150200250112101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#13
43.10.7
40.341.0
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End3.9
red by 2.6
1640
#49
40.50.3
42.442.1
Auto12.9
Teleop23.2
End4.4
Second
5624
#48
33.20.7
31.632.3
Auto7.0
Teleop20.5
End5.7
red by 0.1
222
#43
33.10.3
37.036.6
Auto9.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
28.50.7
29.830.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.3
End5.1
red by 0.9
4575
#46
27.50.3
26.826.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
68%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsMissed