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Red91
48430.7
465332.2
30340.4
Blue147
34145.7
495432.6
540727.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959670809010011012013014091147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#33
40.40.1
34.534.4
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End6.5
blue by 5.3
341
#3
45.73.3
37.741.0
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End10.0
Second
4653
#38
32.20.1
29.229.0
Auto10.4
Teleop17.6
End4.2
blue by 0.4
4954
#47
32.63.3
32.335.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
484
#20
30.70.1
29.028.9
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.9
red by 2.8
5407
#36
27.93.3
22.425.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsEarned