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Red64
1132.8
566624.8
162632.4
Blue121
114338.5
70839.0
4138.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891155010015020064121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#45
32.81.7
34.532.8
Auto8.9
Teleop20.0
End4.0
blue by 6.2
708
#18
39.00.1
39.839.7
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End9.5
Second
1626
#25
32.41.7
31.329.6
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
blue by 6.2
41
#8
38.60.1
33.633.4
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End4.9
Third
5666
#57
24.81.7
24.422.6
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.8
blue by 13.7
1143
#12
38.50.1
34.334.1
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed36%Capture oddsMissed