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Red98
475029.1
511332.2
192332.6
Blue94
108936.1
620323.4
22326.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90782040601001201409894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#22
32.60.8
28.429.2
Auto7.2
Teleop19.9
End5.5
blue by 3.5
1089
#21
36.11.1
33.234.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End3.5
Second
5113
#24
32.20.8
27.328.1
Auto8.0
Teleop19.4
End4.9
red by 5.3
223
#55
26.91.1
24.525.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.2
Third
4750
#32
29.10.8
29.930.7
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End3.3
red by 5.6
6203
#53
23.41.1
19.620.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned