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Red88
30340.4
540727.9
434230.0
Blue103
457527.5
201632.4
83434.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9392708010011012088103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#33
40.40.1
34.434.3
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End6.5
red by 6.3
834
#31
34.10.8
31.332.2
Auto11.2
Teleop19.6
End3.3
Second
4342
#34
30.00.1
29.929.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End5.4
blue by 2.4
2016
#40
32.40.8
32.533.3
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Third
5407
#36
27.90.1
25.725.6
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End4.1
red by 0.3
4575
#46
27.50.8
26.527.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
52%Capture oddsMissed19%Capture oddsEarned