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Red107
171229.2
198941.7
114338.5
Blue54
164040.5
181131.2
7527.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991085015010754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.6
35.936.5
Auto11.7
Teleop24.9
End5.0
red by 1.2
1640
#49
40.53.3
42.138.8
Auto12.9
Teleop23.2
End4.4
Second
1143
#12
38.50.6
34.134.8
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End5.2
red by 7.3
1811
#42
31.23.3
34.731.5
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End2.7
Third
29.20.6
27.728.3
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End4.2
red by 1.6
75
#50
27.63.3
26.623.3
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
22%Capture oddsEarned10%Capture oddsMissed