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Red97
125731.7
463721.9
86944.7
Blue110
162632.4
36537.5
192332.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103996070809011012013097110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#10
44.70.2
43.643.5
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End11.9
red by 7.2
365
#44
37.50.2
38.338.5
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
Second
1257
#52
31.70.2
36.236.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End4.0
blue by 0.9
1923
#22
32.60.2
29.229.4
Auto7.2
Teleop19.9
End5.5
Third
4637
#60
21.90.2
19.719.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
blue by 10.6
1626
#25
32.40.2
29.629.8
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsMissed80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsEarned24%Capture oddsMissed