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Red109
620323.4
1132.8
363733.1
Blue104
475029.1
42326.0
457336.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89100050150109104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#41
33.11.1
34.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.2
blue by 3.1
4573
#35
36.20.6
39.640.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.9
End10.4
Second
11
#45
32.81.1
32.833.8
Auto8.9
Teleop20.0
End4.0
red by 3.8
4750
#32
29.10.6
30.731.3
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End3.3
Third
6203
#53
23.41.1
20.721.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
blue by 2.5
423
#56
26.00.6
25.025.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed27%Capture oddsMissed