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Red100
34145.7
601624.5
562433.2
Blue92
568435.1
540438.1
201632.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951095015020010092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#3
45.70.4
39.940.3
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End10.0
red by 7.6
5404
#27
38.10.8
36.936.1
Auto8.2
Teleop23.9
End6.1
Second
5624
#48
33.20.4
31.732.1
Auto7.0
Teleop20.5
End5.7
blue by 1.8
5684
#23
35.10.8
33.632.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End5.7
Third
6016
#30
24.50.4
22.422.8
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End3.1
blue by 7.8
2016
#40
32.40.8
33.332.6
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsMissed95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned57%Capture oddsMissed