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Red94
540727.9
4138.6
27226.9
Blue98
620323.4
121836.5
171229.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9083601001201409498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#8
38.60.2
34.634.8
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End4.9
red by 2.1
1218
#19
36.51.1
31.632.7
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End5.4
Second
5407
#36
27.90.2
25.625.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End4.1
blue by 1.4
29.21.1
28.329.4
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Third
272
#26
26.90.2
25.826.0
Auto10.3
Teleop13.5
End3.0
red by 3.5
6203
#53
23.41.1
21.722.8
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsEarned