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Red165
331443.1
32132.7
108936.1
Blue109
42326.0
255927.2
198941.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119864060100140160180165109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.12.9
44.947.8
Auto10.1
Teleop27.4
End5.6
red by 1.4
41.71.4
36.537.9
Auto11.7
Teleop24.9
End5.0
Second
1089
#21
36.12.9
34.337.2
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End3.5
red by 8.9
2559
#39
27.21.4
26.427.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Third
321
#14
32.72.9
31.734.6
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End4.4
red by 6.8
423
#56
26.01.4
25.626.9
Auto7.7
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsEarned28%Capture oddsEarned