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Red90
162632.4
181131.2
86944.7
Blue84
363733.1
140332.4
495432.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081040501502002503009084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#10
44.71.3
43.542.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End11.9
red by 11.6
3637
#41
33.11.2
35.834.7
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.2
Second
1626
#25
32.41.3
29.828.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
blue by 0.2
4954
#47
32.61.2
35.534.3
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
1811
#42
31.21.3
31.530.1
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End2.7
blue by 1.2
1403
#37
32.41.2
30.229.0
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed32%Capture oddsMissed