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Red99
475029.1
593823.8
114338.5
Blue94
540140.3
127928.0
457527.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899360801001201409994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#12
38.50.8
34.835.6
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End5.2
blue by 1.8
40.30.3
36.636.9
Auto7.0
Teleop21.5
End11.8
Second
4750
#32
29.10.8
31.332.1
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End3.3
red by 1.1
1279
#59
28.00.3
26.126.3
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.1
Third
5938
#51
23.80.8
20.721.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
blue by 3.8
4575
#46
27.50.3
27.327.6
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsMissed