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Red133
568435.1
10236.0
589541.0
Blue99
1132.8
465332.2
260734.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114882040608010014016013399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.1
44.845.8
Auto11.0
Teleop25.1
End5.0
red by 6.9
2607
#29
34.20.6
28.829.5
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Second
102
#17
36.01.1
29.530.6
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End5.9
red by 3.2
11
#45
32.80.6
31.832.4
Auto8.9
Teleop20.0
End4.0
Third
5684
#23
35.11.1
32.833.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End5.7
red by 2.9
4653
#38
32.20.6
28.829.4
Auto10.4
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsEarned6%Capture oddsMissed