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Red116
2546.0
36537.5
562433.2
Blue108
70839.0
22326.9
540727.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12791406080100140160180116108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#11
46.00.5
47.547.0
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End12.4
red by 7.0
708
#18
39.00.6
40.941.6
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End9.5
Second
365
#44
37.50.5
38.337.8
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
red by 9.7
5407
#36
27.90.6
25.826.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Third
5624
#48
33.20.5
32.131.7
Auto7.0
Teleop20.5
End5.7
red by 6.3
223
#55
26.90.6
26.727.4
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
73%Capture oddsMissed43%Capture oddsEarned