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Red125
34145.7
463721.9
511332.2
Blue82
164728.5
457527.5
181131.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9187608010012012582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#3
45.71.8
40.342.1
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End10.0
red by 14.5
1811
#42
31.20.9
30.129.3
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End2.7
Second
5113
#24
32.21.8
28.230.0
Auto8.0
Teleop19.4
End4.9
red by 3.7
1647
#28
28.50.9
27.126.2
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Third
4637
#60
21.91.8
19.120.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
blue by 5.7
4575
#46
27.50.9
27.626.7
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
6%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed