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Red137
164040.5
121836.5
10236.0
Blue88
601624.5
140332.4
201632.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11284406010012014016018013788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#49
40.52.2
39.441.6
Auto12.9
Teleop23.2
End4.4
red by 8.1
2016
#40
32.40.5
31.831.3
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Second
1218
#19
36.52.2
34.436.6
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End5.4
red by 4.2
1403
#37
32.40.5
30.129.6
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
Third
102
#17
36.02.2
30.632.8
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End5.9
red by 11.5
6016
#30
24.50.5
23.623.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsEarned28%Capture oddsMissed