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Red119
4138.6
540140.3
511332.2
Blue95
562433.2
7527.6
140332.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088840608010012014016011995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.1
37.939.0
Auto7.0
Teleop21.5
End11.8
red by 7.0
5624
#48
33.20.4
32.833.2
Auto7.0
Teleop20.5
End5.7
Second
41
#8
38.61.1
34.335.5
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End4.9
red by 6.3
1403
#37
32.40.4
29.630.1
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
Third
5113
#24
32.21.1
29.931.0
Auto8.0
Teleop19.4
End4.9
red by 4.6
75
#50
27.60.4
26.026.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsEarned34%Capture oddsEarned